A Framework for Economic Recovery

The Advocata Institute launched its latest publication on "A Framework for Economic Recovery" on September 14 at 3.30 PM.

This report can be accessed below.

A Framework for Economic Recovery” Report

The report authored by Advocata’s Senior Research fellow Dr. Roshan Perera and Advocata’s research team proposes key policy recommendations to overcome these challenges. The report presents a  framework for macroeconomic stabilization and emphasizes the need for urgent economic reforms.

The presentation by Dr. Roshan Perera on "A Framework for Economic Recovery" can be accessed below.

"A Framework for Economic Recovery" Presentation

The launch was virtually held with the attendance of the press and was live-streamed on Advocata Institutes social media channels.

Watch the live discussion on Advocata Institutes YouTube channel

Key speakers included; Advocata Academic Chair, Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana, Advocata Chair, Murtaza Jafferjee, Dhananath Fernando (COO Advocata Institute) and key advisors, Prof. Rohan Samarajiva ( Chairperson, LIRNEASIA), Prof. Suri Ratnapala ( Professor of Law, University of Queensland), Anarkali Moonesinghe ( Board Member Lankan Angel Network), Dr. Sujata Gamage, ( Senior Research Fellow, LIRNEASIA) and Prof.Prema-Chandra Athokorala (Emeritus Professor of Economics, ANU).

Diagnosis of Sri Lanka's Current Economic Crises and Potential Solutions

Advocata Institute Chair Murtaza Jafferjee on the “Diagnosis of Sri Lanka's Current Economic Crisis and Potential Solutions” organized by CFA Society Sri Lanka on September 10th 2021.

Download the full presentation:

Diagnosis of Sri Lanka’s Current Economic Crisis

Year on year increase in food prices of 30%

Originally appeared in the Daily FT

Advocata’s Bath Curry Indicator (BCI) which tracks the monthly changes in the price of a basket of commonly consumed food items recorded a 30% increase between August 2020 and August 2021. Prices have soared due to a multitude of factors in the last few years. Prices of the same basket of food items tracked on the BCI is up 70% compared to August 2019.

This means that an average family, who spent  Rs.757 weekly on the BCI basket of food items in August 2019 now has to pay Rs 1,288 for the same basket of goods. This is roughly Rs. 500 more than in 2019.  

The month of August however recorded a minor decrease in food prices compared to the previous month, with the prices falling by 1.57% driven by lower prices for onions, rice and green chillies, whilst vegetables such as beans and pumpkin increased.

The items that contributed the most to prices falling in the month of August 2021 were Green chilli (21%), Red onions (19%) and samba rice (8%). 

Alternatively the prices of beans (6.92%), pumpkin (12.46%), brinjals (8.83%) and Dhal (0.71%) increased. 

The BCI tracks the weekly retail prices in the Colombo market of the most commonly consumed food ingredients that might be used in a typical Buth curry meal. The prices are collected from the “Weekly Indicators” that the Central Bank publishes. 

  The BCI Indicator can be accessed at www.bci.advocata.org.

Advocata's Aneetha Warusavitarana Awarded Commonwealth Scholarship

Originally appeared on The Morning, Daily FT, Daily Mirror

Aneetha Warusavitarana secures a place at Cambridge University.

Aneetha Warusavitarana, Research Manager,  from Colombo based independent policy think-tank Avocata Institute has been awarded the prestigious Commonwealth Shared Scholarship.  Aneetha is set to start on her MPhil in Public Policy at the University of Cambridge this year. 

Aneetha Warusavitarana played an important role in driving numerous research projects aimed at promoting sound public policy ideas for a freer and more prosperous Sri Lanka at the Advocata Institute.  Her work in Sri Lanka’s public policy space consists of driving advocacy campaigns and research on Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise reform, Period Poverty, Trade Liberalisation and State-Owned Enterprise Reform in Sri Lanka to name a few. Aneetha is a product of Ladies’ College Colombo and the University of London International Programmes, where she graduated with a first class in  International Development. 

Dhananath Fernando, Chief Operating Officer of the Advocata Institute said, “Aneetha played a significant role in Advocata Institute's growth as a public policy think tank. Her accomplishments include delivering and maintaining a high standard of research, while also providing thought leadership on a range of public policy issues”.   As an independent public policy think-tank, the Advocata Institute will continue to work and nourish such talent and leadership. Therefore Aneetha would also be joining the Advocata Institute as a Visiting fellow and would continue to contribute to our work. The Advocata Institute wishes her the best in all her future endeavours.


Advocata is an independent policy think tank based in Colombo, Sri Lanka. We conduct research, provide commentary and hold events to promote sound policy ideas compatible with a free society in Sri Lanka. Visit advocata.org for more information.

Top economists: Sri Lankan import restrictions at odds with WTO rules, hurts welfare of Sri Lankans

Originally appeared in the Daily FT, Ceylon Today, Ada derana Business

The Advocata Institute DeepDive Series on “ The Role of Trade in Sri Lanka’s Economic Recovery”

COLOMBO, Sri Lanka— A panel of eminent economists urged that the Government take credible and decisive action to carry out immediate trade reforms. Advocata’s Academic Chair Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana, emphasised that “Countries that have grown very fast, especially in east asia have understood the importance of trade reform”. Further adding that the first step of such a reform agenda should be to simplify the taxes at the border by removing the so-called ‘para tariffs’ that Sri lanka levies beyond the regular import duties and to introduce a single uniform tariff for all imports. 

Sri Lanka’s trade as a % of GDP has been low when compared to neighbouring countries like Thailand and Vietnam, indicating that we have not truly exploited our opportunity to trade. Research shows, Sri Lanka, has high tariff rates compared to other developing countries, and while tariffs play a role in protecting domestic infant industries, if tariffs are too high, they can become anticompetitive. Recent import restrictions, such as banning a  wide range of consumer goods since the beginning of April 2020,  have further worsened Sri Lanka’s growth potential and put Sri Lanka at odds with WTO rules. 

Dr. Dayaratna Silva ( International Trade Economist, Former Sri Lankan Ambassador to the World Trade Organization)  elaborated on the severe consequences for Sri Lanka’s economy if such import restrictions continue. He explained that there is a possibility of tariff retaliation. “Prolonged import controls are not consistent with the WTO, and its high time such is readdressed”, he went on to say. 

Such forms of retaliation could have a significant negative effect on our imports, thereby worsening our existing foreign exchange and balance of payment crisis. Another key long term concern for the economy. “My worry is the long term industrial development of the country because of these restrictions. Resources are inefficiently being allocated as a result”, further commented Dr. Dayartna De Silva. 

His Excellency  Denis Chaibi ( Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to Sri Lanka and the Maldives) commented on the importance of adhering to global rules on trade. He commented that “the European Union tries to have a rule based order. When a country does not follow those rules, the rule based structure is affected. Without trade, for a small country like Sri Lanka, the prospect is not good”.  His comments brought into perspective the wider ramifications of import restrictions on Sri Lanka’s multilateral relations.  

 Professor Prema- Chandra Athukorala (Emeritus Professor of Economics, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, ANU), who is an authority on global production networks, explained that “No country in the world now produces goods from the beginning to end within their geographic boundaries. Countries specialise in different components within the production value chain. Made in the country X label has become invalid, a  Country has to identify comparative advantage within the production network. “. Thereby elaborating on how Sri Lanka cannot achieve economic growth without joining global production networks through trade. He concluded by commenting on recent developments of import controls by saying that “selective intervention, without disturbing the incentive structure of the country as a policy, is going to be a recipe for disaster”.

These views were expressed at the event “Deep Dive”, organised by the Advocata Institute that aims to bring focus on Sri Lanka’s biggest policy challenges. The event was moderated by  Aneetha Warusavitarana, Research Manager, Advocata Institute.  As a precursor to the event,  Advocata released a primer on debt sustainability with the aim of helping Sri Lankans understand the topic.  The recording of the discussion can be found at Advocata Institute’s YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8M981XmlbAs / to get a comprehensive understanding of Trade and how it affects Sri Lanka’s economy and the livelihoods of all Sri Lankans. The event was organised in partnership with the European Union. 

AdvoChats | Economic Reforms, The Need of the Hour? with Rehana Thowfeek and Daniel Alphonsus

The Advocata Institute hosted its first 'AdvoChats' with Rehana Thowfeek (Economic Researcher and Blogger) and Daniel Alphonsus (Former Advisor to the Ministry of Finance) on the topic 'Economic Reforms, Need of the Hour?' where they discuss the need for economic reforms in Sri Lanka.

Advochats is a series specifically designed to convey the seriousness of the current economic situation of the country to our audience and encourage the crowds to initiate conversations, ask questions and take part in the much-needed discussions on reforms Sri Lanka needs.


Follow @advocatalk on Instagram for future chats https://www.instagram.com/advocatalk/

You can watch the full discussion on Youtube

Excessive Price Controls will worsen Shortages

Originally appeared in the Daily FT , Daily Mirror, Ceylon Today, Sunday Times and Ada Derana Business

New measures treating the symptoms rather than the disease.

COLOMBO, Sri Lanka— Harsh enforcement of price controls may worsen food shortages.

The Commissioner of Essential Services has been granted the power to seize food stocks held by traders and retailers and regulate prices.

There is serious concern with the steep rise in the price of essentials which has taken place over the past two years. Advocata’s Bath Curry Indicator (BCI), which tracks commonly consumed items,  shows a 30% increase in retail food prices in August 2021 compared to August 2020.   

The reasons for the increase in prices include import restrictions and tariffs that have disrupted markets. The classic example is turmeric that retailed at Rs.650 per kg prior to the import ban but now retails at Rs 3500 per kg according to the DCS and at around Rs 4400 to  Rs6900 on online retailers . Other products are similarly affected. 

The recent ban on fertiliser is likely to result in even further increases in the prices of vegetables and cereals over the forthcoming harvests.

These restrictive policies have been compounded by the acute shortage of foreign currency caused by the on-going balance of payments (BOP) crisis. Lack of foreign exchange has imposed additional restrictions on imports resulting in shortages causing prices to spike.

While the increases in prices is a real concern, the causes are complex and are largely due to poor policies. 

The balance of payments crisis arises not due to trade policy but due to the levels of aggregate demand in the economy,  principally through consumption and investment influenced by the prevailing fiscal and monetary policy. The tax cuts towards the end of 2019, fiscal dominance of monetary policy and non-pass through of global commodity prices through price controls and administered prices have contributed towards excess import demand.

This is evident in the trade data: despite the stringent import restrictions imposed after April 2020, import demand for the six months to June 2021 have surged by 30% over the same period in 2020. While exports in the period have also risen, it is the rapid rise in imports that have caused the negative trade balance.

Price controls and administered prices have led to shortages and hoarding.

Instead of addressing the problem at the root, the government is trying to control the symptoms. Previous attempts at price controls have not succeeded as  Advocata’s research in 2018 has shown but better enforcement is not the solution. Instead, the Government should address the policy weaknesses that are the cause of the problem.

Trying to negate policy missteps in fiscal and monetary policy through trade policy in an untenable exercise for it impacts economic efficiency hence growth and productivity and also leads to issues with economic distribution.

Harsh enforcement of price controls could in turn create black markets resulting in significant welfare losses in the form of  a deterioration in product quality, elevate scarcities, disadvantaging the poor who are less sophisticated and in the long run lead to higher prices, lower output due to lower investment.

We urge policy makers to urgently address the root cause of the current crisis by increasing tax revenues via more progressive tax policies - by increasing the tax base for both direct and indirect taxes and reducing the tax gap through greater tax effort. Further, it is best where possible to use well targeted cash transfers to vulnerable segments of the population to improve affordability instead of cutting taxing, imposing price control or using administered prices on utilities.


Key Points 

  • Advocata Institute highlights the negative  effects of harsh price controls. 

  •  The root causes of the present crisis lies in loose monetary and fiscal policies compounded by import controls and exchange control restrictions. Therefore restoring macroeconomic stability is a priority.

  • Cash transfers to vulnerable segments is a better mechanism to implement distributive policies rather than intervening in market prices through tax subsidies, price controls or administered prices.

Media coverage on The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka

GSP Plus vital for SL to fight competition – EU Ambassador

After 2010 Sri Lanka’s exports to the European Union (EU) have increased by 60% but half of it is through the Generalised Scheme of Preferences (GSP) plus, stated EU Ambassador to Sri Lanka Denis Chaibi, speaking at a virtual conference organised by Colombo-based think-tank Advocata Institute.

Vietnam increased by 400% and Bangladesh by 150% during the period from 2010 to 2019, thus to stay ahead of competition, GSP plus is significant for Sri Lanka, stated Chaibi. Ambassador further noted that retaining GSP Plus would give a positive image for Sri Lanka that it is committed to human rights obligations. “The EU market is competitive as it is a superpower in terms of product quality standards.

For a Sri Lankan exporter to export to the EU would give the exporter recognition in any other market as the EU only accepts products with certain standards. Sri Lanka is already in a forex crisis. Increasing exports is a way out of the current crises. COVID-19 has created a resilient supply chain but without preferential access it is difficult for Sri Lanka to increase its exports to EU markets.

Read the full article here

SL’s economic recovery led by trade

The Covid-19 pandemic has revealed the real weaknesses Sri Lanka had in terms of its economy for the past four decades.

With the foreign exchange shortage worsening day by day, many fear that the country will go back to the pre-1977 era of ration cards to purchase essential food items, as the importation of such goods will be impossible in the near months.

Sri Lanka needs economic reforms that will decide the fate of the country in the next few decades to come, and many experts say that reforms should start with the country’s protectionism trade that has not really evolved over the years.

Productivity for growth

Speaking at a webinar organised by the Advocata institute, its Chair – Academic Programme Dr. Sarath Rajapathirana said that Sri Lanka has failed to make any substantial reform for the economy, particularly on trade-side reforms, for the last 20 years.

He said trade is very important as it exposes the country to competition and among other areas such as the fiscal side, the budget, and having a proper monetary policy that avoids inflation and contributes to a more stable exchange rate, trade too needs a lot of work.

“Our imports are three times the value of exports, so we have been continuing a trade deficit, which is also accompanied by a current account deficit. These have to be addressed when talking about trade reform; we have to have the macroeconomic support for it,” he said.

He said more than the aggregates of imports and exports, the encouragement to productivity from having open trade or non-restricted trade is more important.

“If you don’t have strong growth in productivity, we have to keep on increasing the factors of production. It is difficult because we need to have more savings and less consumption. So the best way to get it done is to really have a system in which our reforms are going to immediately affect the positive side of our productivity growth,” he noted.

Read the full article here

Increased int’l trade participation key to achieving economic recovery, says top economist

As the national economy continues to face new challenges from multiple angles and their implications are being very much felt by businesses and masses, Dr. Rajapatirana called for the government to start by having in place a more streamlined tariff structure.

“First get rid of para tariffs fast. And then look to introduce a single uniform tariff,” asserted Dr. Rajapatirana while addressing a webinar hosted by the Advocata Institute, this week.

For Sri Lanka to embark on any efforts that would assist in the recovery of the national economy, Dr. Rajapatirana stressed it is essential for the relevant authorities to acknowledge the importance of international trade when charting the path for progress. 

He pointed out that Sri Lanka needs to get away from its protectionist mindset and the way to get about it is to first look at lowering the existing tariff.

“The existing para tariff hurts our competitiveness. This is one of the fundamental things we need to do,” said Dr. Rajapatirana.

He added that the government must also explore the option of introducing a uniform tariff of about 15 percent, which can be reduced over a period of time.

Dr. Rajapatirana opined that by bringing about the suggested changes, Sri Lanka would be signalling to the world that it is serious in wanting to achieve economic progress. 

Dr. Rajapatirana also pointed out that the country has not made any substantial economic reforms, especially on the trade side, in the last 20 years or so.

As the country continues to grapple with the COVID-19 pandemic along with the rest of the world, Dr. Rajapatirana warned that neglecting the economy would only further delay the recovery process. 

“We cannot think of economic recovery without really starting trade reforms. We are in a good driving seat to undertake the reforms since the government has two-thirds majority. 

We need to have the macrocosmic reforms that come from the monetary policy and the fiscal policy. Without that you don’t have the sort of dynamic stability that is needed to put in place a good reform programme,” he said.

Read the full article

Sri Lanka international trade role in Advocata forum as monetary instability drive import controls

Colombo-based think tank Advocata Institute said it is hosting an online forum on ‘The Role of International Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka’, as the island is mired in the worst import controls since the 1970s after printing money.

Trade controls started during as money was printed to target an ‘output gap’ involving curbs on gold trading and vehicles and other items, escalated into full-scale import substitution, import bans and tightened from 2020.

Sri Lanka’s post-independent economic history is littered with administrations that tried to operate various economic plans without reforming a soft-pegged central bank with activist monetary policy.

Read the full article

Online Discussion: Deep Dive "The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka"

The second Advocata Deep Dive discussion on "The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka” in partnership with the European Union in Sri Lanka and the Maldives was held on Aug 30th.

Prof. Prema-Chandra Athukorala (Emeritus Professor of Economics, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, ANU), Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana (Chair, Academic Programme, Advocata Institute), H.E. Denis Chaibi (Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to Sri Lanka and the Maldives) and Dr. Dayaratna Silva discuss (International Trade Economist | Former Sri Lankan Ambassador to the World Trade Organization) discuss "The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka”


You can also watch the full discussion here

Deep Dive 2.0 kickstarted with the primer by Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana discussing International Trade: From Theory to Policy: Sri Lanka in Perspective.

A brief overview of Sri Lanka's trade, trading partners and trade policies in relation to economic growth. In this video, we discuss the contribution of trade to a country's growth, Sri Lankan trade during the pandemic, import restrictions, and GSP+ and its effect on Sri Lanka's trade.

NEWS RELEASE: A Deep Dive on Trade “ The Role of International Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka”

NEWS RELEASE

Originally appeared in the Economy Next, Ada derana Business

The Advocata Institute event on “ The Role of International Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka”

COLOMBO, Sri Lanka—  The Advocata Institute launches its second episode of the public policy discussion series ‘DeepDive’, which will be on the Topic “The Role of Trade in the Economic Recovery of Sri Lanka”.  

The  discussion  kickstarted with a primer on trade on the topic International Trade: From Theory to Policy: Sri Lanka in Perspective, presented by  Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana,  Chair, Academic Programme of the Advocata Institute. This Primer has already been released in the lead up to the discussion and is available for viewing on the Advocata Institute Youtube page. 

The Deep Dive Discussion will feature an eminent panel consisting of Professor Prema - Chandra Athukorala (Emeritus Professor of Economics, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, ANU), Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana ( Chair, Academic Program of the Advocata Institute), HE Denis Chaibi ( Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to Sri Lanka and the Maldives), and Dr. Dayaratna Silva ( International Trade Economist, Former Sri Lankan Ambassador to the World Trade Organization) . The Panel would be Moderated by Aneetha Warusavitarana (Research Manager, Advocata Institute) and would be LIVE-streamed on the 30th of August from  4.00 PM onwards.  

The Advocata Institute remains committed to finding policy solutions to key challenges holding back Sri Lanka’s road to development. The lack of a competitive trading regime that can compete internationally,  remains a key structural issue impeding Sri Lanka’s Economy. With the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, Sri Lanka’s economic position has become precarious. Exploring opportunities in global trade can be a key strategy to drive the Sri Lankan economy out of the present peril it faces and towards consistent high economic growth and prosperity.   The second episode of Advocata DeepDive would discuss policies and strategies that would enable Sri Lanka to expand and promote trade competitively. The discussion will further explore  how our regional neighbours have used trade as a tool for economic growth. 

The Advocata Institute cordially invites members of the public to tune into the LIVE streamed event on ZOOM and Advocata Institute Facebook Page. Questions will be taken online via ZOOM and Facebook. To get a comprehensive understanding of the benefits of trade debt and how it can affect Sri Lanka’s economy and the livelihoods of all citizens you can watch the Primer on trade titled “ International Trade: From Theory to Policy: Sri Lanka in Perspective ” available on https://youtu.be/NYG_RQxrSqQ

Advocata is an independent policy think tank based in Colombo, Sri Lanka. We conduct research, provide commentary and hold events to promote sound policy ideas compatible with a free society in Sri Lanka. Visit advocata.org for more information.    

The Dollar Dilemma and Sri Lanka | Dr W A Wijewardena | Dhananath Fernando

Sri Lanka’s Covid19 response and what role does the private sector play?

The Advocata Institute hosted a Twitter Spaces on ‘The Dollar Dilemma’ with. Dr W A Wijewardena (Former Deputy Director, Central Bank of Sri Lanka) moderated by Dhananath Fernando (Chief Operating Officer, Advocata Institute)


This originally aired on Twitter Spaces on Friday (August 20, 2021) at 7.00P.M

Follow @advocatalk on Twitter for future chats on Twitter Spaces. https://twitter.com/advocatalk

You can listen to the full discussion on Youtube

Montek Singh Ahluwalia on Advocata Conversations | Ep.01 | Murtaza Jafferjee | Dr Sarath Rajapatirana

The Advocata Institute launches its episode on Advocata Conversations, the new series of discussions, where we converse with esteemed industry leaders on policy and economy! With Advocata Conversations we aim to capture insights of experienced policymakers on policy reforms and its impact.

Our first episode is between Advocata Chairperson, Murtaza Jafferjee, Advocata Academic Advisor, Dr. Sarath Rajapathirana, and Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Former Deputy Chairperson of the Planning Commission of India.

In this episode, he discusses his experiences working with the Indian government, his expertise on the economy, his family, and his latest work as a writer.

Watch the full discussion here.

Read the transcript for the full discussion here.

Watch this video on Youtube 

IMF or no IMF, Sri Lanka needs Economic Analysis and Plan going forward: Advocata Advisor Dr. Nishan De Mel

Covered by The Island

Whatever Sri Lanka decides about dealing with its debt and paying its way through the world, the country needs to formulate a very good economic analysis and a publicly-backed plan that will establish the credibility of the world in its economy going forward, Dr. Nishan De Mel, Advocata Institute Advisor and Executive Director of Verité Research said recently.

He made this remark at a virtual forum called the Advokatha (Advoකතා) a weekly series conducted by the Advocata Institute on ‘How to Resolve Sri Lanka’s Debt Crisis Without Seeking Assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’.

The full discussion can be found on Advocata Plus YouTube Channel.

Further speaking he said:

“Such an analysis needs to be thorough and well-structured with the focus on the real economic activity and the financial conditions in the economy. That would be the first step to build credibility of the world about the Sri Lankan economy. It is actually credibility that we lack rather than foreign reserves. If we can build that credibility about us in the countries that we deal with, we may not need assistance from the IMF to resolve our liquidity issue. When such a favourable environment is created and other countries repose their trust in Sri Lanka’s economy, its sovereign credit ratings would see an upgrade and Sri Lanka would be able to raise funds at the international capital market at reasonable interest rates, The skill we need for this is to present an analysis and a plan and then demonstrate our commitment to stick to it. Our concern is whether the government has such a plan and if it does have one, why it is not publicized”.

Read More..

July Food Prices Increase by 0.70%

Originally appeared in the Daily FT and Daily Mirror

Advocata’s Bath Curry Indicator (BCI) which tracks the monthly changes in the price of food recorded a jump of 0.70% for the month of July 2021. 

The month of July experienced an increase in prices compared to the month of June, according to the basket of food tracked by the BCI.

The 3 items that contributed most to this increase were:

For the month of July 2021, the prices of pumpkin showed the largest increase of 66.4%.

Likewise, the prices of Samba rice, Beans, Dhal and fish (balaya) also experienced minor increases in prices as well.

In comparison to the month of July 2020, the BCI has increased by 45% for 2021, which translates that an average family of 4 that spent Rs. 899.85 on this basket of goods for a week in July 2020 would pay Rs. 1308.10 for the same amount of goods in a week in July 2021.

The BCI tracks the weekly retail prices in the Colombo market of the most commonly consumed food ingredients that might be used in a typical Bath curry meal. The prices are collected from the “Weekly Indicators” that the Central Bank publishes.

The BCI Indicator can be accessed at www.bci.advocata.org.

Advocata welcomes full time Minister of Finance for Sri Lanka’s Public Finances

Originally appeared in the Daily FT and Daily Mirror

An independent Minister of Finance can lead the way for better management of Public Finances.

COLOMBO, Sri Lanka— For 23 of the last 30 years, the Head of Government in Sri Lanka has simultaneously held the title of Minister of Finance.  Experience shows that combining the two roles is usually a big mistake as the job of the Head of Government is already very demanding. It is almost impossible for any one person to combine that with being an effective Minister of Finance. The tasks associated with being the Head of Government almost always gain priority.  Secondly, an effective Minister of Finance needs to maintain fiscal discipline by resisting pressures from the political office. The head of government who is also the head of a party or coalition cannot simultaneously meet this requirement due to such conflicting priorities. 

 Analysis of Sri Lanka’s public finances further provides convincing evidence that the absence of a dedicated Minister of Finance has undermined revenue collection. From post independence to around 1990, Sri Lanka’s tax revenue averaged over 20 per cent. At present Sri Lanka has one of the lowest income tax rates compared to peer countries as well as a tax threshold which is several times its GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita.

The Advocata Institute, therefore, welcomes the government decision to appoint a dedicated Minister of Finance.

Key Points:

  • A dedicated Minister of Finance is beneficial to effective public Finance management.

  • The Advocata Institute welcomes the appointment of a full-time Minister of Finance.

  • Poor public finance management and poor revenue collection are partly a result of a lack of a dedicated Minister of Finance.

  • Understanding the seriousness of the present crisis and utilising pragmatic public policies is the way forward.

[1] The Political Economy of Long-Term Revenue Decline in Sri Lanka, Mick Moore, ICTD Working Paper 65, February 2017

 

June Food Prices Increase by 14.3 %

Originally appeared in the Daily FT and Daily Mirror

Advocata’s Bath Curry Indicator (BCI) which tracks the monthly changes in the price of food recorded a jump of 14.3%  for the month of  June 2021. 

The month of June experienced an increase in prices comparatively to the month of May, according to the basket of food tracked by the BCI.

The 3 items that contributed most to this increase were:

For the month of June 2021, the prices of green chillies, coconut, and beans, increased by 64%, 33% and 17% respectively. Likewise, the prices of Samba rice, pumpkin, Brinjals, Dhal and red onions also experienced minor increases in prices as well.

 In comparison to the month of June 2020, the BCI has increased by 30%, for 2021, which translates that an average family of 4 that spent Rs.1,136 on this basket of goods for a week in May, would pay Rs.1, 299 for the same amount of goods in a week in June.

 The BCI tracks the weekly retail prices in the Colombo market of the most commonly consumed food ingredients that might be used in a typical Buth curry meal. The prices are collected from the “Weekly Indicators” that the Central Bank publishes.

The BCI Indicator can be accessed at www.bci.advocata.org.

Advocata's Sathya Karunarathne Wins Asia Think Tank Shark Tank Competition

Originally appeared on the Daily FT, The Morning

Advocata Institute secures a $10,000 project grant for research work on improving women’s property rights.

Sathya Karunarathne, Research Analyst, from Colombo based independent policy think-tank Advocata Institute won the coveted Asia Think-Tank Shark Tank competition for the proposal to expand their work on economic freedom for women, specifically on women’s property rights in Sri Lanka. 

The Asia Liberty Forum Think Tank Shark Tank competition is a rigorous project pitch that identifies the best project out of Think Tanks in the region.  The winning think tank is awarded a grant to implement the proposed research project.

As highlighted by Sathya during her pitch “Sri Lankan women’s property rights are not firmly established in the legal system. A 2002 survey by the Agriculture and Environment Statistics Division highlighted that only 16 per cent of privately owned land in the country belongs to females. The lack of updated, gender-disaggregated data makes it difficult to fully understand the extent of this problem”.

The project has three major components; the research effort that will focus on formulating a policy brief on the issue, the communication effort to create awareness on the issue, and an advocacy campaign to highlight to policymakers the importance of property rights, and the urgency of revising these gender discriminatory laws.

As an independent public policy think-tank, the Advocata Institute looks forward to implementing this project in order to improve the ownership of property by women. Securing property rights for women will secure many more rights such as the ability to grow and sell crops, obtain agricultural services and assets, and access debt capital from formal financial institutions with lower interest rates.

Looking beyond awareness, the Advocata Institute hopes to lobby policymakers to amend existing gender-discriminatory land inheritance laws, in line with the equality provisions in the Article 12 of the Constitution of 1978 that recognises all individuals as equal in front of the law and worthy of equal protection.

Advocata is an independent policy think tank based in Colombo, Sri Lanka. We conduct research, provide commentary and hold events to promote sound policy ideas compatible with a free society in Sri Lanka. Visit advocata.org for more information.

Advocata Conversations Pricing Fuel & Energy : Lessons From India with Dr Narayan and Murtaza Jafferjee-

The Advocata Institute hosted a live conversation with Dr S Narayan, Former Secretary, Ministry of Finance, Department of Petroleum and Industrial Development | Former Economic Adviser to the Prime Minister of India and Murtaza Jafferjee, Chair of Advocata Institute on 'Pricing Fuel and Energy: Lessons From India'. The conversation was live-streamed on ZOOM, Facebook and Youtube on Thursday, June 24 at 10.30 AM.

Click here to watch the full conversation

Click here to access the presentation by Murtaza Jafferjee

Click here to access the updated presentation by Murtaza Jafferjee

Click here to access the updated presentation 20/02/2022

K D Vimanga on Newsline in conversation with Sharlan Benedict 22/06/2021

K D Vimanga, Policy Analyst at Advocata Insitute on News1st NEWSLINE program 22/06/2021. She addresses the policy stability the need of the hour on Newsline with Sharlan Benedict.

"The most important thing we need to realize about public policy is that it deals with peoples issues and the issues that impact their livelihood. And then we analyze those issues. As a policy-maker or policy analyst what we do is try and propose solutions that are equitable, in line with the development and with other factors. The problem in Sri Lanka is that we haven't prioritized this process."

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Dr. Roshan Perera on Newsline in conversation with Sharlan Benedict 18/06/2021

Dr. Roshan Perera, Senior Visiting Fellow at Advocata Insitute on News1st NEWSLINE program 18/06/2021. She addresses the policy stability the need of the hour on Newsline with Sharlan Benedict.

"The fundamental problem that Sri Lanka is facing, which it has been for decades, is our twin deficit problem. We have both a fiscal and external deficit. Basically, we have been living beyond our means and consuming more than we produce. We must address this problem."

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