Media coverage on The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka

GSP Plus vital for SL to fight competition – EU Ambassador

After 2010 Sri Lanka’s exports to the European Union (EU) have increased by 60% but half of it is through the Generalised Scheme of Preferences (GSP) plus, stated EU Ambassador to Sri Lanka Denis Chaibi, speaking at a virtual conference organised by Colombo-based think-tank Advocata Institute.

Vietnam increased by 400% and Bangladesh by 150% during the period from 2010 to 2019, thus to stay ahead of competition, GSP plus is significant for Sri Lanka, stated Chaibi. Ambassador further noted that retaining GSP Plus would give a positive image for Sri Lanka that it is committed to human rights obligations. “The EU market is competitive as it is a superpower in terms of product quality standards.

For a Sri Lankan exporter to export to the EU would give the exporter recognition in any other market as the EU only accepts products with certain standards. Sri Lanka is already in a forex crisis. Increasing exports is a way out of the current crises. COVID-19 has created a resilient supply chain but without preferential access it is difficult for Sri Lanka to increase its exports to EU markets.

Read the full article here

SL’s economic recovery led by trade

The Covid-19 pandemic has revealed the real weaknesses Sri Lanka had in terms of its economy for the past four decades.

With the foreign exchange shortage worsening day by day, many fear that the country will go back to the pre-1977 era of ration cards to purchase essential food items, as the importation of such goods will be impossible in the near months.

Sri Lanka needs economic reforms that will decide the fate of the country in the next few decades to come, and many experts say that reforms should start with the country’s protectionism trade that has not really evolved over the years.

Productivity for growth

Speaking at a webinar organised by the Advocata institute, its Chair – Academic Programme Dr. Sarath Rajapathirana said that Sri Lanka has failed to make any substantial reform for the economy, particularly on trade-side reforms, for the last 20 years.

He said trade is very important as it exposes the country to competition and among other areas such as the fiscal side, the budget, and having a proper monetary policy that avoids inflation and contributes to a more stable exchange rate, trade too needs a lot of work.

“Our imports are three times the value of exports, so we have been continuing a trade deficit, which is also accompanied by a current account deficit. These have to be addressed when talking about trade reform; we have to have the macroeconomic support for it,” he said.

He said more than the aggregates of imports and exports, the encouragement to productivity from having open trade or non-restricted trade is more important.

“If you don’t have strong growth in productivity, we have to keep on increasing the factors of production. It is difficult because we need to have more savings and less consumption. So the best way to get it done is to really have a system in which our reforms are going to immediately affect the positive side of our productivity growth,” he noted.

Read the full article here

Increased int’l trade participation key to achieving economic recovery, says top economist

As the national economy continues to face new challenges from multiple angles and their implications are being very much felt by businesses and masses, Dr. Rajapatirana called for the government to start by having in place a more streamlined tariff structure.

“First get rid of para tariffs fast. And then look to introduce a single uniform tariff,” asserted Dr. Rajapatirana while addressing a webinar hosted by the Advocata Institute, this week.

For Sri Lanka to embark on any efforts that would assist in the recovery of the national economy, Dr. Rajapatirana stressed it is essential for the relevant authorities to acknowledge the importance of international trade when charting the path for progress. 

He pointed out that Sri Lanka needs to get away from its protectionist mindset and the way to get about it is to first look at lowering the existing tariff.

“The existing para tariff hurts our competitiveness. This is one of the fundamental things we need to do,” said Dr. Rajapatirana.

He added that the government must also explore the option of introducing a uniform tariff of about 15 percent, which can be reduced over a period of time.

Dr. Rajapatirana opined that by bringing about the suggested changes, Sri Lanka would be signalling to the world that it is serious in wanting to achieve economic progress. 

Dr. Rajapatirana also pointed out that the country has not made any substantial economic reforms, especially on the trade side, in the last 20 years or so.

As the country continues to grapple with the COVID-19 pandemic along with the rest of the world, Dr. Rajapatirana warned that neglecting the economy would only further delay the recovery process. 

“We cannot think of economic recovery without really starting trade reforms. We are in a good driving seat to undertake the reforms since the government has two-thirds majority. 

We need to have the macrocosmic reforms that come from the monetary policy and the fiscal policy. Without that you don’t have the sort of dynamic stability that is needed to put in place a good reform programme,” he said.

Read the full article

Sri Lanka international trade role in Advocata forum as monetary instability drive import controls

Colombo-based think tank Advocata Institute said it is hosting an online forum on ‘The Role of International Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka’, as the island is mired in the worst import controls since the 1970s after printing money.

Trade controls started during as money was printed to target an ‘output gap’ involving curbs on gold trading and vehicles and other items, escalated into full-scale import substitution, import bans and tightened from 2020.

Sri Lanka’s post-independent economic history is littered with administrations that tried to operate various economic plans without reforming a soft-pegged central bank with activist monetary policy.

Read the full article

Online Discussion: Deep Dive "The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka"

The second Advocata Deep Dive discussion on "The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka” in partnership with the European Union in Sri Lanka and the Maldives was held on Aug 30th.

Prof. Prema-Chandra Athukorala (Emeritus Professor of Economics, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, ANU), Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana (Chair, Academic Programme, Advocata Institute), H.E. Denis Chaibi (Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to Sri Lanka and the Maldives) and Dr. Dayaratna Silva discuss (International Trade Economist | Former Sri Lankan Ambassador to the World Trade Organization) discuss "The Role of Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka”


You can also watch the full discussion here

Deep Dive 2.0 kickstarted with the primer by Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana discussing International Trade: From Theory to Policy: Sri Lanka in Perspective.

A brief overview of Sri Lanka's trade, trading partners and trade policies in relation to economic growth. In this video, we discuss the contribution of trade to a country's growth, Sri Lankan trade during the pandemic, import restrictions, and GSP+ and its effect on Sri Lanka's trade.

NEWS RELEASE: A Deep Dive on Trade “ The Role of International Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka”

NEWS RELEASE

Originally appeared in the Economy Next, Ada derana Business

The Advocata Institute event on “ The Role of International Trade in Economic Recovery in Sri Lanka”

COLOMBO, Sri Lanka—  The Advocata Institute launches its second episode of the public policy discussion series ‘DeepDive’, which will be on the Topic “The Role of Trade in the Economic Recovery of Sri Lanka”.  

The  discussion  kickstarted with a primer on trade on the topic International Trade: From Theory to Policy: Sri Lanka in Perspective, presented by  Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana,  Chair, Academic Programme of the Advocata Institute. This Primer has already been released in the lead up to the discussion and is available for viewing on the Advocata Institute Youtube page. 

The Deep Dive Discussion will feature an eminent panel consisting of Professor Prema - Chandra Athukorala (Emeritus Professor of Economics, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, ANU), Dr. Sarath Rajapatirana ( Chair, Academic Program of the Advocata Institute), HE Denis Chaibi ( Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to Sri Lanka and the Maldives), and Dr. Dayaratna Silva ( International Trade Economist, Former Sri Lankan Ambassador to the World Trade Organization) . The Panel would be Moderated by Aneetha Warusavitarana (Research Manager, Advocata Institute) and would be LIVE-streamed on the 30th of August from  4.00 PM onwards.  

The Advocata Institute remains committed to finding policy solutions to key challenges holding back Sri Lanka’s road to development. The lack of a competitive trading regime that can compete internationally,  remains a key structural issue impeding Sri Lanka’s Economy. With the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, Sri Lanka’s economic position has become precarious. Exploring opportunities in global trade can be a key strategy to drive the Sri Lankan economy out of the present peril it faces and towards consistent high economic growth and prosperity.   The second episode of Advocata DeepDive would discuss policies and strategies that would enable Sri Lanka to expand and promote trade competitively. The discussion will further explore  how our regional neighbours have used trade as a tool for economic growth. 

The Advocata Institute cordially invites members of the public to tune into the LIVE streamed event on ZOOM and Advocata Institute Facebook Page. Questions will be taken online via ZOOM and Facebook. To get a comprehensive understanding of the benefits of trade debt and how it can affect Sri Lanka’s economy and the livelihoods of all citizens you can watch the Primer on trade titled “ International Trade: From Theory to Policy: Sri Lanka in Perspective ” available on https://youtu.be/NYG_RQxrSqQ

Advocata is an independent policy think tank based in Colombo, Sri Lanka. We conduct research, provide commentary and hold events to promote sound policy ideas compatible with a free society in Sri Lanka. Visit advocata.org for more information.    

The Dollar Dilemma and Sri Lanka | Dr W A Wijewardena | Dhananath Fernando

Sri Lanka’s Covid19 response and what role does the private sector play?

The Advocata Institute hosted a Twitter Spaces on ‘The Dollar Dilemma’ with. Dr W A Wijewardena (Former Deputy Director, Central Bank of Sri Lanka) moderated by Dhananath Fernando (Chief Operating Officer, Advocata Institute)


This originally aired on Twitter Spaces on Friday (August 20, 2021) at 7.00P.M

Follow @advocatalk on Twitter for future chats on Twitter Spaces. https://twitter.com/advocatalk

You can listen to the full discussion on Youtube

The Dollar Dilemma and Sri Lanka w/ W A Wijewardena and Dhananath Fernando

Montek Singh Ahluwalia on Advocata Conversations | Ep.01 | Murtaza Jafferjee | Dr Sarath Rajapatirana

The Advocata Institute launches its episode on Advocata Conversations, the new series of discussions, where we converse with esteemed industry leaders on policy and economy! With Advocata Conversations we aim to capture insights of experienced policymakers on policy reforms and its impact.

Our first episode is between Advocata Chairperson, Murtaza Jafferjee, Advocata Academic Advisor, Dr. Sarath Rajapathirana, and Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Former Deputy Chairperson of the Planning Commission of India.

In this episode, he discusses his experiences working with the Indian government, his expertise on the economy, his family, and his latest work as a writer.

Watch the full discussion here.

Read the transcript for the full discussion here.

Watch this video on Youtube 

IMF or no IMF, Sri Lanka needs Economic Analysis and Plan going forward: Advocata Advisor Dr. Nishan De Mel

Covered by The Island

Whatever Sri Lanka decides about dealing with its debt and paying its way through the world, the country needs to formulate a very good economic analysis and a publicly-backed plan that will establish the credibility of the world in its economy going forward, Dr. Nishan De Mel, Advocata Institute Advisor and Executive Director of Verité Research said recently.

He made this remark at a virtual forum called the Advokatha (Advoකතා) a weekly series conducted by the Advocata Institute on ‘How to Resolve Sri Lanka’s Debt Crisis Without Seeking Assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’.

The full discussion can be found on Advocata Plus YouTube Channel.

Further speaking he said:

“Such an analysis needs to be thorough and well-structured with the focus on the real economic activity and the financial conditions in the economy. That would be the first step to build credibility of the world about the Sri Lankan economy. It is actually credibility that we lack rather than foreign reserves. If we can build that credibility about us in the countries that we deal with, we may not need assistance from the IMF to resolve our liquidity issue. When such a favourable environment is created and other countries repose their trust in Sri Lanka’s economy, its sovereign credit ratings would see an upgrade and Sri Lanka would be able to raise funds at the international capital market at reasonable interest rates, The skill we need for this is to present an analysis and a plan and then demonstrate our commitment to stick to it. Our concern is whether the government has such a plan and if it does have one, why it is not publicized”.

Read More..

July Food Prices Increase by 0.70%

Originally appeared in the Daily FT and Daily Mirror

Advocata’s Bath Curry Indicator (BCI) which tracks the monthly changes in the price of food recorded a jump of 0.70% for the month of July 2021. 

The month of July experienced an increase in prices compared to the month of June, according to the basket of food tracked by the BCI.

The 3 items that contributed most to this increase were:

For the month of July 2021, the prices of pumpkin showed the largest increase of 66.4%.

Likewise, the prices of Samba rice, Beans, Dhal and fish (balaya) also experienced minor increases in prices as well.

In comparison to the month of July 2020, the BCI has increased by 45% for 2021, which translates that an average family of 4 that spent Rs. 899.85 on this basket of goods for a week in July 2020 would pay Rs. 1308.10 for the same amount of goods in a week in July 2021.

The BCI tracks the weekly retail prices in the Colombo market of the most commonly consumed food ingredients that might be used in a typical Bath curry meal. The prices are collected from the “Weekly Indicators” that the Central Bank publishes.

The BCI Indicator can be accessed at www.bci.advocata.org.